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Thursday, February 19, 2015

Two Deals Bring Attention to Banking’s Safra Family - NYTimes.com

Two Deals Bring Attention to Banking’s Safra Family

On a single day last fall, two deals were coming together that would draw unusual attention to a banking family that prefers to remain in the shadows.
In London, 30 St. Mary Axe — a pickle-shaped office tower known as the Gherkin that was designed by Norman Foster — was on the brink of changing hands for $1.1 billion. And in New York, shareholders of Chiquita Brands International, the banana producer, were finally leaning toward selling the company, for $1.3 billion.
The buyer for both of these assets was the Safra Group, the investment arm of a storied financial family that strives for secrecy.
Today run by Joseph Safra, the last surviving son of the patriarch who built the family’s initial fortune, the Safra Group manages billions of the family’s personal money. Worth an estimated $14.5 billion according to Forbes, Mr. Safra, 76, is the world’s richest banker.
In addition to the family’s vast and growing real estate holdings, its fortune is bolstered by a network of international banks, including Banco Safra in Brazil, J. Safra Sarasin Holding in Switzerland and Safra National Bank of New York. In total, the family and its banks have more than $200 billion under management, and stockholder equity of more than $15 billion.
With the latest deals, the Gherkin became the face of a Safra real estate portfolio, which includes over 100 properties around the globe, including the 660 Madison Avenue office complex in Midtown Manhattan, and several prime locations in SoHo in Lower Manhattan.
“Their real estate philosophy is very similar to their banking philosophy,” said a person who has worked with the Safra family on property deals and spoke on the condition that he not be named because he did not want to jeopardize his relationship with the family. “It’s really about the preservation of wealth. They look to buy to hold, rather than to sell.”
Indeed, the family has not sold any major real estate assets in decades.
In Chiquita, the Safra Group saw the opportunity to diversify its revenues with a similarly long-term, and public, bet. Demand for bananas, a popular fruit worldwide, is unlikely to subside. And by joining with the Cutrale Group, owned by a Brazilian family with expertise in agriculture that it knew well, Safra was able to branch out without taking on too much risk.
His penchant for privacy aside, Mr. Safra has emerged as a powerful philanthropist in Brazil. Both São Paulo’s Jewish hospital, Albert Einstein, and the hospital founded by the city’s large Arab community, Sírio-Libanês, list Mr. Safra among their largest donors.
Among close associates, Mr. Safra is known to be kind and humble, cooking meals for family and calling on confidants regularly.
“He thinks about his business 24 hours a day, but he found time to call me every day when I was in the hospital after heart surgery,” said Jack Terpins, president of the Latin American Jewish Congress.

Others, who spoke only if they were not identified by name because of Mr. Safra’s power in São Paulo’s financial community, describe an impatient side and a quick temper.

“He likes problems to be solved immediately. You don’t want to disappoint or cross him,” a former employee said.

Yet for his private nature, Mr. Safra has maintained and added to a family fortune that is poised to survive for another 100 years, or more.

“They have a multigenerational time horizon,” said a senior banker who has worked closely with the family. “Not many people have that.”

The Safra family’s standing at the heart of the world’s elite private banking industry is a world away from its roots as traders with the camel caravans that passed through Aleppo, Syria.

It was there, more than 100 years ago, that the Safra family discovered its business acumen, first as merchants and then as amateur bankers. Mr. Safra’s father, Jacob, moved to Beirut and opened a formal bank after World War I, capitalizing on Lebanon’s emergence as a cosmopolitan hub of the Middle East.

After World War II the elder Mr. Safra moved his family to Brazil, and in 1957 established Banco Safra with seven employees. Today, Banco Safra is the eighth-largest bank in the country, with more than $56 billion in assets.

Despite the family’s prominence, Mr. Safra and his relatives are resolutely private. He does not appear in gossip columns and his name has not been associated with politicians or celebrities. In contrast to Brazil’s casual customs, he always wears a suit. Observant of his Sephardic Jewish roots, he keeps a strict kosher diet.

“For most Brazilians, he is a mystery,” said Paulo Feldmann, an economics professor at the University of São Paulo who studies Latin American business culture.

He is largely a mystery to the outside world, too. No member of the Safra family or its companies would comment for this article, following a longstanding policy of not speaking to the news media or making public appearances.

Privacy, however, has not inhibited the family’s ability to expand its reach, or increase its wealth. Several people who work closely with the Safra Group describe a family that measures success by decades and generations, not quarters and fiscal years, and possesses a single-minded focus on maximizing long-term returns for clients and family members.

“They are focused on very, very long-term investing, wherever in the world makes the most sense,” the senior banker said. “They are going to stick to extremely low volatility assets, and proven properties and companies that have meaningful long-term appreciation.”

Behind the philosophy is a maxim espoused by the patriarch, Jacob Safra, and internalized by his sons and grandsons: “If you choose to sail upon the seas of banking, build your bank as you would your boat, with the strength to sail safely through any storm.”

Mr. Safra’s older brother, Edmond, later left Banco Safra and established new banks in Europe and New York. In 1999, he sold Republic National Bank of New York to HSBC for $10 billion. Edmond died in a fire under suspicious circumstances later that year.

Joseph and his younger brother, Moise, ran Banco Safra together until 2006, when Joseph bought out Moise and became the sole owner of Banco Safra. Moise died last year, at 79.

Today, while Joseph remains at the head of the family, his three sons, Jacob, David and Alberto, are assuming more prominent roles. Jacob, the eldest, splits his time between Switzerland and New York, looking after J. Safra Sarasin and Safra National Bank of New York, and nonbank operations outside Brazil. David and Alberto, meanwhile, run Banco Safra in Brazil. Their father is often on the road, shuttling between Brazil, Switzerland and New York.

But success was not always assured. Postwar Brazil suffered first from political instability, then from hyperinflation. The economy lurched from one government plan to another that included capital and currency controls, and even a nationwide freeze of bank accounts.

In that volatile environment, fortunes were made and lost. Mr. Safra focused instead on asset management for wealthy individuals, and on loans to businesses and individuals who could offer solid collateral, such as real estate.

“He always worked on growing slowly and sustainably and keeping the bank very solid,” Mr. Feldmann said. “He looked to hire the most intelligent people, even if they had no experience in banking, trained them himself, and demanded complete loyalty.”

Mr. Feldmann said Mr. Safra was also unusual in wanting to keep his company relatively small so that he could keep a close eye on every aspect of it.

Mr. Safra soon started to buy other, smaller banks and to invest outside the financial sector. He acquired controlling stakes in major Brazilian textile and cellulose companies, and in 1998, in partnership with BellSouth, he founded a cellphone company, BCP, that became Brazil’s second largest.

Despite rapid growth, BCP turned out to be one of Mr. Safra’s few failures. The company racked up huge debts and was finally sold in 2003 at a bargain price to América Móvil, the telecommunications company of the Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim Helú. An earlier co-investment with BellSouth yielded a profit.

Mr. Safra paid $1.1 billion to buy a Swiss private bank, Sarasin, in 2011. The price was high, but Sarasin was a high-quality asset, and it permitted Mr. Safra to expand his asset management business beyond its core client base in Latin America to European and Asian investors.

What is more, it deepened the Safras’ exposure to asset management, traditionally one of the financial world’s most consistently lucrative niches: Year after year, whether markets rise or fall, clients pay a percentage of their assets in fees.

In recent months, however, Mr. Safra has branched out with back-to-back deals for well-known assets that thrust the family back into the headlines.





Mr. Safra believes the price he paid for the Gherkin was a bargain, according to people close to the family. The building was sold out of bankruptcy, and in a subtle change of tack, the Safras believe they have the opportunity to make improvements and raise rents, increasing profits from the building sooner rather than later.



Two Deals Bring Attention to Banking’s Safra Family - NYTimes.com

Monday, November 24, 2014

Best European Stock Bets

October Hedge Funds: Best, Worst, Biggest

Jonathan Herbert doesn’t share other investors’ deep anxiety about a recession in Europe.

One
of the region’s best-performing equity hedge fund managers this year,
the Swiss native runs the Camox fund, a value-driven long-short investor
based in London. Herbert’s fund buys lesser-known small- and mid-cap
European stocks that he believes are on the verge of faster earnings
growth because of a product break-through or a turnaround in their
business.

Leading performer Herbert has played a lot of small-cap European shares
to big gains this year while shorting giants Danone and Unilever. Photo: Chris Gloag for Barron’s

“Even
though Europe is mired in anemic growth, it really doesn’t matter
because our companies are innovating and actively selling their products
in China, Latin America, and the Middle East,” says Herbert, 42. “It’s
paradoxical that many of our companies are exhibiting organic growth
rates between 5% and 20%, when gross-domestic-product growth in Europe
is basically at zero.”

Herbert looks for companies that dominate
narrow global industries. Recent investments have included one in the
aluminum auto-engine-parts business and another in enterprise software
made specifically for banks. By his estimates—usually based on a
multiple of enterprise value divided by earnings before interest and
tax—his picks tend to trade at a 40% discount to their large-cap peers,
and their organic growth rate is four times as fast. He’s short a number
of big, household names.

The preference for small-caps has
evolved over time for Herbert, who was raised in the French-speaking
Swiss village of Cologny by an Israeli father and an American mother. He
first became interested in the group while working as a stockbroker at
Deutsche Bank and then at private bank Lombard Odier Darier Hentsch, in
Zurich. He realized risk-averse institutional investors weren’t fully
exploiting the opportunity.

“If you can capture that explosive
growth in terms of investing in the company at the right point in time,
and if the company is cheap enough that you have a margin of safety,
that is where the money is to be made,” says Herbert, who has a joint
master’s degree in economics and business administration from the
University of Lausanne.

His Camox fund (derived from the Latin
word for a breed of mountain goat native to the Swiss Alps) has posted
outstanding returns this year, rising 24.77% through Sept. 30, according
to fund tracker BarclayHedge. That is nearly six times the MSCI World
Index’s meager 4.33% return in the same period. Over three years, Camox
has returned 33.01% annualized, more than double the MSCI’s 16.80%
return.

The gains helped boost assets under management to $255
million (205 million euros) by early October, from just $7.6 million
when Herbert started with a single analyst in February 2008. Camox’s
management fee ranges from 1.5% to 1.7%, plus a performance fee of 17%
to 20%, depending on how long investors agree to lock up their money in
the fund. Minimum investment is $500,000.

“He does not fall in
love with stocks,” says Gilles Lambotte, a partner at Octogone Group, a
financial advisory in Geneva that has invested in Camox. “He gets in and
out with conviction.” In September, when euro-zone inflation fell to
its lowest level in five years, Herbert believed “the market was
slightly overvalued,” so he liquidated 25% of his portfolio. German
stocks fell by 16% in subsequent weeks, so Herbert used the cash he’d
raised to buy stocks.

Camox currently has 25 long positions and six shorts. Among the bullish bets are Software
(ticker: SOW.Germany). Herbert likes enterprise-software stocks because
the companies collect monthly “maintenance charges” from
customers—usually large companies that can’t risk a shutdown. In the
second quarter, Software suffered a surprising decline in sales at its
“middleware” unit, whose products tie together different databases.
Middleware, for instance, is what allows the computer systems of
law-enforcement agencies and airlines to work together to cross-check
passenger lists for terror suspects. The revenue shortfall caused the
stock to fall 33%.

But Herbert’s research found that the company
had lost a senior sales executive and spent a lot of time seeking
certification to work with the U.S. Defense Department, which hurt
European sales. He’s betting sales will rebound. Camox bought shares at
about €18 each, and by mid-November, the stock had risen to €21.50; he
has a target of €40 over two to three years.

Another favorite is Temenos Group
(TEMN.Switzerland) of Geneva, the largest producer of enterprise
software for banks outside of the U.S. As European banks regain their
footing—their solid scores on recent stress tests suggest as much—they
can again afford to upgrade their information-technology systems.
Foreseeing the banking rebound, Camox started buying the stock for about
16 Swiss francs ($16.64) in February 2012, right after it fell sharply.
Since then, Temenos has nearly tripled, recently trading at CHF33.40
($34.55); Herbert expects it to rise above CHF50.

By quizzing
European companies about their suppliers and competitors, Herbert
occasionally discovers companies scarcely covered by sell-side analysts.
One example is Montupet,
(MON.France), a manufacturer of aluminum components for car engines
that suffered in 2009 when General Motors went bankrupt and orders fell.
Herbert bought the stock in September 2013 for €22, anticipating a
recovery in U.S. auto sales and an increase in outsourcing by German car
makers. Backed by rising revenue and profits, the stock has nearly
tripled, to €64. It could top €100 in two or three years, he says.

Among Herbert’s six short positions are large-cap European consumer stocks, including yogurt maker Danone (BN.France), and food and home-products giant Unilever
(ULVR.UK). He thinks the shares of these dividend-paying, slow-growing
companies are overpriced—selling for more than 20 times
earnings—because European investors are scrambling for protection
against a recession.

Shorting large-caps raises cash for Herbert
to invest in smaller gems that are growing a lot faster. “As long as
Europe doesn’t slip into a prolonged recession, our companies will do
just fine—and prosper,” he says.

E-mail: editors@barrons.com





Best European Stock Bets



Tuesday, November 4, 2014

“It’s not personal...it’s strictly business.” Family firms: Business in the blood @TheEconomist



Family firms

Business in the blood

Companies controlled by founding families remain surprisingly important and look set to stay so


| NEW YORK| From the print edition


THE “Lucky Sperm Club”, as Warren Buffett likes to call it, is still
going strong in the commanding heights of business. On opposite sides of
the Atlantic, Ana Botín and Abigail Johnson have recently succeeded
their fathers in filling two of the most powerful jobs in finance, as
chairman of Banco Santander and chief executive of Fidelity Investments,
respectively.

Founding dynasties run, or wield significant clout at, some of the
world’s largest multinationals, from Walmart to Mars, Samsung to BMW.
Half a century ago management experts expected the hereditary principle
to fade fast, because of the greater ability of professionally-run
public firms to raise capital and attract top talent. In fact, family
firms have held their ground and, in recent years have increased their
presence among global businesses.


Family-controlled firms now make up 19% of the companies in the Fortune
Global 500, which tracks the world’s largest firms by sales. That is up
from 15% in 2005, according to new research by McKinsey, a consulting
firm (which defines such firms as ones whose founders or their families
have the biggest stake, of at least 18%, plus the power to appoint the
chief executive). Since 2008 sales by these firms have grown by 7% a
year, slightly ahead of the 6.2% a year by non-family firms in the list.
McKinsey sees these trends continuing for the foreseeable future.



Read the whole article online on The Economist website:  Family firms: Business in the blood | The Economist



Wednesday, October 1, 2014

#Greenspan: If #China were to convert a relatively modest part of its $4 trillion foreign exchange reserves into #gold, the country’s currency could take on unexpected strength in today’s international financial system

In today's world of fiat currencies and floating exchange rates, a return to the gold standard seems to be nowhere on anybody’s horizon. Yet gold still has special properties that no other currency can claim-- which is why China is boosting its holdings..


Golden Rule

Links:
[1] http://www.amazon.com/The-Map-Territory-Nature-Forecasting/dp/1594204810

Read the article on Foreign Affairs here: Golden Rule:





 The Pangea Advisors Blog

#Caribbean Islands continue to offer #Citizenship in return for Investing in #RealEstate @WSJ

Caribbean Exchange: Invest in Property and Get Citizenship - WSJ


Grenada started its citizenship plan to help finance the expansion of its 22-villa Mount Cinnamon resort. Mount Cinnamon Resort

 

With
lending still tight in the Caribbean, several island nations are
embracing an unorthodox method of financing resort and villa projects:
selling citizenship.

The Caribbean vacation-home market has seen
an uneven recovery from the downturn. Sales volumes and prices for
existing homes are rising in larger markets and those with direct
flights to the U.S. But new construction of resorts and for-sale villas
remains hobbled, especially in smaller nations eschewed by most
conventional lenders.

One solution for islands such as St. Kitts,
Nevis, Grenada and Antigua has been to grant citizenship to qualified
investors who agree to spend several hundred thousand dollars buying
home lots or investing in hotel projects there.

The infusions help the islands get tourist destinations constructed. The investors, for their part, receive Caribbean passports.

The
programs are a draw for investors from countries such as China who
often need multiple forms of identification, such as a visa in addition
to their home-country passport, to travel to certain parts of the world.
Obtaining a Caribbean passport allows them to travel visa-free in many
cases.

What's more, some participants can end up paying lower
taxes as Caribbean-nation citizens than as citizens of their home
country, though to get the break they might need to spend a certain
amount of time each year in the Caribbean nation in question.

The
growing popularity of citizenship-by-investment programs underscores the
difficulty of obtaining conventional financing in the Caribbean. Many
smaller nations struggle with fickle tourism demand and limited airline
access, and all must contend with the damage inflicted by tropical
storms. Lenders have been especially leery of the Caribbean in recent
years after several high-profile resort projects ran out of financing
during the downturn and still languish half-built today.

St. Kitts's citizenship-by-investment program has helped the Christophe
Harbour resort sell many of the project's first 100 home sites. Christophe Harbour Development

 

On
St. Kitts, the developers of the 2,500-acre Christophe Harbour resort
community have used the government's citizenship-by-investment program
to sell many of the project's first 100 home sites in the past two years
and to finance construction of a Park Hyatt luxury hotel there.

St.
Kitts sets the minimum property price for investors gaining citizenship
through the program at $400,000. Lot prices at Christophe Harbour range
from $500,000 to $6 million. St. Kitts and sister island Nevis are home
to 55,000 people.

"It isn't easy to find buyers, especially in
the economy we've had" since the downturn, said Thomas Liepman, director
of sales for Christophe Harbour, a joint venture of Kiawah Partners of
Charleston, S.C., and a St. Kitts quasi-government agency. "But
citizenship has driven a recession-proof demand to this tiny island."

Grenada,
an island of 106,000 residents, started its citizenship-by-investment
program last year to help finance the expansion of its 22-villa Mount
Cinnamon Resort and Beach Club. The project's developer, British
hotelier Peter de Savary, aims to build another 80 villas on the site by
soliciting foreigners seeking Grenadian citizenship. He is doing the
same at a mixed-use project elsewhere in Grenada called Port Louis,
which includes a yacht marina, shops and, eventually, villas.

Some
developments are able to sell some lots to Americans who don't want or
need dual citizenship. But Americans alone aren't enough to finance most
projects. Instead, many projects gain most of their investments from
people who routinely encounter travel restrictions and obstacles due to
their country of origin.

"They're marketing to people who are
Russian, Middle Eastern or Chinese," said James Andrews, senior managing
director of Integra Realty Resources Inc., a valuation and consulting
firm specializing in the region's resort and hotel properties. "They get
a [Caribbean] passport, and they don't even have to live there."

St. Kitts sets the minimum property price for investors gaining citizenship through the program at $400,000. Christophe Harbour Development

 

St.
Lucia, Barbados, Bermuda and other islands, fretting that they will
fall behind in tourism development, are studying whether to offer their
own citizenship-by-investment programs.

The Caribbean programs are
similar to those used elsewhere, but provide faster access to
citizenship. In Europe, qualified applicants can gain visas from Spain,
Portugal or Latvia by buying property in those countries. France,
Singapore and the U.S. grant visas to qualified applicants who invest in
companies or projects that create a minimum number of jobs over a set
period.

One big drawback of the programs is the potential for
fraud. Authorities are concerned that without strict oversight, the
programs can be used by money launderers and other criminals for
unfettered travel.

In May, the U.S. Treasury Department sent banks
a warning letter that foreign investors, namely Iranian nationals, were
"abusing" St. Kitts' citizenship-by-investment program for "illicit
financial activity," according to the letters. St. Kitts suspended
Iranians from its program in 2013, but the U.S. alleges Iranians
continue to get St. Kitts passports.

The developers of Christophe Harbour on St. Kitts have teamed with the
government to provide citizenship to qualified applicants who invest at
least $400,000 apiece in the resort community. Christophe Harbour Development

 

In
response, the prime minister of St. Kitts and Nevis has said in public
forums this year that he has instructed his administration to improve
the program's vetting of applicants.

St. Kitts and other Caribbean
nations run the risk that if their vetting of applicants is lax, other
countries will start placing greater restrictions on travelers using
Caribbean nations' passports.

"That could devalue the citizenship
of the issuing country" and undermine its tourism-development program,
said Madeleine Sumption, a research director at Migration Policy
Institute, a Washington, D.C., think tank.

Write to Kris Hudson at kris.hudson@wsj.com



Read the article online at the Wall Street Journal: Caribbean Exchange: Invest in Property and Get Citizenship - WSJ